China and the Global Economy With Richard Duncan #641

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That extraordinary surge in global debt was only possible because the collapse in interest rates after 1980 made borrowing more affordable. Richard Duncan’s chart showing declining interest rates of the global economy. Current debt levels won’t be possible to sustain, however, if interest rates ever begin to rise.

“The US is not a viable concern anymore” – Duncan.. This policy response is supporting the global economy but it has not even targeted the structural flaws responsible for the crisis.

The Dollar Crisis traces the flow of dollars into Japan and Asia, which suffered their own asset price bubbles in the ’80s and ’90s respectively. As dollars enter foreign banking systems in exchange for exports to the U.S., they increase the monetary base, which leads to more a domestic credit expansion.

Why is ‘cracking seven’ a big deal for China’s currency? If China’s renminbi slips past Rmb7 a dollar – "cracking seven" in trader talk – it would take the currency to a level of.

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 · My friend Richard Duncan from Singapore sent me a note on credit growth this week. The emphasis below is his: When credit growth is weak, the United States falls into recession. Between 1952 and 2008, there were only nine years when total credit (adjusted for inflation) grew by less than 2%. Each time, there was a recession.

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The "gray rhino" risks in China’s financial sector are rising and regulators will step up efforts to control them, a senior official at the People’s Bank of China said in remarks published on Monday.

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Expectations for the US Federal Reserve to put interest rates up in September have wavered today as US stock markets and the dollar declined sharply in response to a market meltdown in China. Rate.

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